Decline in growth of European beech forests due to climate change

Past, present and future forest growth has been, is and will be influenced by climate variability. This multifaceted relationship has been assessed in several regional studies, but spatially resolved large-scale analyses are largely lacking. Here we estimate recent changes in the growth of 5800 beech trees ( Fagus sylvatica L.) from 324 sites, representing the entire geographic and climatic range of the species. Future growth trends were projected considering the most modern climate scenarios. Validated models indicate a decline in growth over a large distribution area in recent decades and project significant future growth declines ranging from -20 % to more than -50 % by 2090, depending on the region and climate change scenario (i.e. CMIP6 SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5). Projected forest productivity losses are most pronounced towards the southern distribution limit. Fagus sylvatica , in regions where persistent high-pressure atmospheric systems are expected to increase drought severity. Projected growth changes in the 21st century in Europe indicate serious ecological and economic consequences that require immediate adaptation of forests. (Edurne Martinez del Castillo, Christian S. Zang, Martin de Luis, more on nature.com)

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