{"id":3983,"date":"2023-06-05T12:04:47","date_gmt":"2023-06-05T10:04:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/?p=3983"},"modified":"2023-06-05T12:04:47","modified_gmt":"2023-06-05T10:04:47","slug":"extreme-atmospheric-rivers-in-a-warming-climate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/en\/2023\/06\/05\/extreme-atmospheric-rivers-in-a-warming-climate\/","title":{"rendered":"Extreme Atmospheric Rivers in a Warming Climate"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Extreme Atmospheric Rivers (EARs) are responsible for most heavy rainfall and catastrophic flooding along mid-latitude coastal regions. However, current eddy-insensitive climate models severely underestimate (~50 %) the EAR, which casts significant uncertainties on their future projections. Here, using an unprecedented set of high-resolution, eddy-resolution simulations from Community Earth System Model simulations, we show that the ability of the models to simulate the EAR is significantly improved (despite a slight overestimation of ~10 %), and EARs are projected to grow nearly linearly with warming temperature. Under the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 warming scenario, there will be a global doubling or more in occurrence, integrated water vapor transport and precipitation associated with EARs, and a more concentrated tripling for EARs reaching land by the end of the 21st century. We further demonstrate that the coupling relationship between EARs and storms will decrease in a warming climate, potentially affecting the predictability of future EARs. <em>(Shuvu Wang, Xiaohui Ma, nature communications)<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>&quot;by clicking on the title of the article, you will be redirected to the entire article&quot;<\/strong><\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Extreme atmospheric rivers (EARs) are responsible for most of the heavy rainfall and catastrophic flooding along coastal areas in mid-latitudes. However, current climate models that do not distinguish eddies seriously underestimate (~50 %) EARs, which casts significant uncertainties on their future projections. Here, using an unprecedented set of high-resolution eddy-resolution simulations from the Community Earth Model simulations [\u2026]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3983","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-klimaticka-zmena"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3983","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/9"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3983"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3983\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3983"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3983"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3983"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}