{"id":35294,"date":"2025-05-11T06:31:10","date_gmt":"2025-05-11T04:31:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/?p=35294"},"modified":"2025-05-11T07:51:19","modified_gmt":"2025-05-11T05:51:19","slug":"co%e2%82%82-concentration-in-the-atmosphere-is-rising-sharply-despite-the-stabilization-of-emissions-why","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/en\/2025\/05\/11\/co%e2%82%82-concentration-in-the-atmosphere-is-rising-sharply-despite-the-stabilization-of-emissions-why\/","title":{"rendered":"CO\u2082 concentration in the atmosphere is rising sharply, despite stabilising emissions: Why?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ud83e\udd75 CO\u2082 concentrations in the atmosphere have reached new records despite the relative stabilization of emissions, with human carbon emissions stagnating at around 10.2 GtC per year, but natural carbon sinks (forests, soils, oceans) <!--more-->they can no longer absorb such huge amounts of CO\u2082. The year 2024 brought a year-on-year increase in atmospheric CO\u2082 of 3.5 ppm (from 420.5 ppm to 424 ppm), the fastest jump in the history of measurements, and it was also found that intensified fires and widespread droughts significantly weakened the biosphere&#039;s capacity to absorb carbon.<\/p>\n<p><strong>1. Stabilization of emissions vs. growth of concentration<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Human CO\u2082 emissions from fossil fuels and land-use change have averaged over the past decade <strong>0.6 % per year<\/strong>, down from 2 % in the previous decade. Nevertheless, annual emissions are still record highs <strong>10.2 GtC<\/strong> (37.4 GtCO\u2082) in 2024 (<span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" title=\"Fossil fuel CO &lt;sub&gt;2&lt;\/sub&gt; emissions will increase again in 2024\" href=\"https:\/\/globalcarbonbudget.org\/fossil-fuel-co2-emissions-increase-again-in-2024\/?utm_source=chatgpt.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Global Carbon Budget<\/a><\/span>). However, atmospheric CO\u2082 concentration increased on average by <strong>2.4 ppm\/year<\/strong> over the past decade and jumped by 2024 <strong>3.5 ppm<\/strong> on the <strong>424 ppm<\/strong>, which is more than 50 % more than pre-industrial levels (~280 ppm) (<span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" title=\"Broken record: Atmospheric carbon dioxide levels jump again - NOAA\" href=\"https:\/\/www.noaa.gov\/news-release\/broken-record-atmospheric-carbon-dioxide-levels-jump-again?utm_source=chatgpt.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">NOAA<\/a>, <a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" title=\"Fastest carbon dioxide surge ever during year of extremes - EarthSky\" href=\"https:\/\/earthsky.org\/earth\/fastest-carbon-dioxide-surge-ever-during-year-of-extremes\/?utm_source=chatgpt.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">EarthSky<\/a><\/span>).<\/p>\n<p><strong>2. Carbon sink analogy<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Faucet (emissions):<\/strong> Burning coal, oil, gas, and deforestation adds carbon to the atmosphere.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Runoff (natural catchments):<\/strong> plants, soils and oceans absorb about half of the emissions annually (50 %) (<span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" title=\"Broken record: Atmospheric carbon dioxide levels jump again - NOAA\" href=\"https:\/\/www.noaa.gov\/news-release\/broken-record-atmospheric-carbon-dioxide-levels-jump-again?utm_source=chatgpt.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">NOAA<\/a><\/span>).<br \/>\nIf the carbon input (emissions) is greater than the sink (natural sinks), the \u201cbathtub\u201d (the atmosphere) fills up faster.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>3. Weakened natural interceptions<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>3.1. Large-scale fires<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Large fires in Canada (2023) and South America (2024) released millions of tons of carbon that would otherwise have remained locked up in biomass (<span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" title=\"Emissions level off, but CO2 in the atmosphere is growing faster\" href=\"https:\/\/cosmosmagazine.com\/news\/emissions-in-atmosphere-growing-faster-than-ever\/?utm_source=chatgpt.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Cosmos<\/a><\/span>).<\/p>\n<p><strong>3.2. Extremely dry<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The year 2024 saw severe droughts in the Northern Hemisphere, which reduced photosynthesis activity and the ability of soils to store carbon (<span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" title=\"During a year of extremes, carbon dioxide levels surge faster than ever\" href=\"https:\/\/www.noaa.gov\/news-release\/during-year-of-extremes-carbon-dioxide-levels-surge-faster-than-ever?utm_source=chatgpt.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">NOAA<\/a><\/span>).<\/p>\n<p><strong>3.3. Ocean capture in change<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The oceans, which absorb nearly 25 % of CO\u2082 emissions, are seeing a decline in efficiency due to warming and circulation changes (<span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" title=\"Trends in CO2 - Global Monitoring Laboratory - NOAA\" href=\"https:\/\/gml.noaa.gov\/ccgg\/trends\/?utm_source=chatgpt.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">gml.noaa.gov<\/a><\/span>).<\/p>\n<p><strong>4. Implications and challenges<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Risk of accelerated warming:<\/strong> If the outflow from the previously naturally absorbing biosphere continues to decline, the atmosphere will fill even faster.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Emission reduction lever:<\/strong> The only sure way to decrease concentration is <strong>sharp reduction in emissions<\/strong> CO\u2082 below the capacity of natural sinks (<span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" title=\"GCB 2024 - Global Carbon Budget\" href=\"https:\/\/globalcarbonbudget.org\/gcb-2024\/?utm_source=chatgpt.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Global Carbon Budget<\/a>).<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>5. New findings and recommendations<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>CSIRO model:<\/strong> It predicts that only when emissions are reduced below certain thresholds will we begin to observe a long-term decline in atmospheric CO\u2082 (<span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" title=\"Global Carbon Budget 2024 - ESSD Copernicus\" href=\"https:\/\/essd.copernicus.org\/articles\/17\/965\/2025\/?utm_source=chatgpt.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ESSD<\/a><\/span>).<\/li>\n<li><strong>CDR technologies:<\/strong> Direct air capture (DAC) and bioenergy with CCS achieve lower costs and higher carbon removal rates (<span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" title=\"Global Carbon Budget\" href=\"https:\/\/www.globalcarbonproject.org\/carbonbudget\/?utm_source=chatgpt.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">globalcarbonproject.org<\/a><\/span>).<\/li>\n<li><strong>Ecosystem protection:<\/strong> Substantially improving the resilience of forests, wetlands and soils to fires and droughts can increase their storage capacity.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-35298 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/assets_task_01jtyxs2gtexz9ywshdszbc935_1746942141_img_0-683x1024.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"683\" height=\"1024\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/assets_task_01jtyxs2gtexz9ywshdszbc935_1746942141_img_0-683x1024.webp 683w, https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/assets_task_01jtyxs2gtexz9ywshdszbc935_1746942141_img_0-200x300.webp 200w, https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/assets_task_01jtyxs2gtexz9ywshdszbc935_1746942141_img_0-768x1152.webp 768w, https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/assets_task_01jtyxs2gtexz9ywshdszbc935_1746942141_img_0-8x12.webp 8w, https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/assets_task_01jtyxs2gtexz9ywshdszbc935_1746942141_img_0.webp 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 683px) 100vw, 683px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Our \u201cbathtub\u201d is still filling up because the emissions tap is left too open. The time for change is now \u2013 significant emissions reductions, restoration of natural sinks and development of CDR technologies are essential to stabilize our climate and secure the future of the planet. <em><strong>Spring<\/strong><\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ud83e\udd75 CO\u2082 concentrations in the atmosphere have reached new records despite the relative stabilization of emissions, with human carbon emissions stagnating at around 10.2 GtC per year, but natural carbon sinks (forests, soils, oceans)<\/p>","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-35294","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-klimaticka-zmena"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35294","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=35294"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35294\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=35294"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=35294"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=35294"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}