{"id":39185,"date":"2026-05-08T16:26:19","date_gmt":"2026-05-08T14:26:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/?p=39185"},"modified":"2026-05-08T16:27:48","modified_gmt":"2026-05-08T14:27:48","slug":"europska-mraznicka-a-globalne-otrasy-co-by-znamenal-kolaps-klucoveho-oceanskeho-prudenia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/ar\/2026\/05\/08\/europska-mraznicka-a-globalne-otrasy-co-by-znamenal-kolaps-klucoveho-oceanskeho-prudenia\/","title":{"rendered":"\u062a\u062c\u0645\u064a\u062f \u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0636\u0637\u0631\u0627\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629: \u0645\u0627\u0630\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0646\u0647\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u062a\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u062d\u064a\u0637\u064a \u0631\u0626\u064a\u0633\u064a\u061f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u0628\u064a\u0646\u0645\u0627 \u062a\u0631\u0643\u0632 \u0645\u0639\u0638\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u0627\u0634\u0627\u062a \u062d\u0648\u0644 \u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0627\u062e \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0631\u060c \u0641\u0625\u0646 \u0623\u062d\u062f \u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0647\u062f\u064a\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0627\u062e\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0634\u0631\u064a\u0646 \u0642\u062f \u064a\u0624\u062f\u064a\u060c \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0645\u062a\u0646\u0627\u0642\u0636\u060c \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0628\u0631\u064a\u062f \u062d\u0627\u062f \u0641\u064a \u0628\u0639\u0636 \u0645\u0646\u0627\u0637\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645 \u0648\u0641\u064a\u0636\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0643\u0627\u0631\u062b\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0645\u0646\u0627\u0637\u0642 \u0623\u062e\u0631\u0649. \u0648\u064a\u0631\u0643\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0621 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0648\u0646 \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0645\u062a\u0632\u0627\u064a\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649<!--more--> pozornos\u0165 na atlantick\u00fa meridion\u00e1lnu prevracaj\u00facu cirkul\u00e1ciu (AMOC) \u2013 obrovsk\u00fd syst\u00e9m oce\u00e1nskych pr\u00fadov, ktor\u00fd funguje ako glob\u00e1lny dopravn\u00edkov\u00fd p\u00e1s rozv\u00e1dzaj\u00faci teplo z tr\u00f3pov smerom k p\u00f3lom.<\/p>\n<p>Hoci pln\u00fd kolaps AMOC v tomto storo\u010d\u00ed zost\u00e1va udalos\u0165ou s n\u00edzkou pravdepodobnos\u0165ou, riziko je ove\u013ea re\u00e1lnej\u0161ie, ne\u017e sa doteraz predpokladalo. V\u00fdskumy ukazuj\u00fa, \u017ee tento syst\u00e9m v\u00fdrazne oslabuje a niektor\u00e9 modely nazna\u010duj\u00fa mo\u017enos\u0165 jeho zr\u00fatenia u\u017e okolo roku 2050. Ak\u00e9 by boli d\u00f4sledky prekro\u010denia tohto klimatick\u00e9ho bodu zlomu?<\/p>\n<p><strong>Eur\u00f3pska mrazni\u010dka: Drastick\u00e9 ochladenie a sucho<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>K\u00fdm zvy\u0161ok sveta by na\u010falej z\u00e1pasil s glob\u00e1lnym otep\u013eovan\u00edm, Eur\u00f3pa by po kolapse AMOC za\u017eila \u0161okov\u00fd teplotn\u00fd prepad. Pr\u00fadenie, ktor\u00e9 inak udr\u017eiava mierne zimy napr\u00edklad v Lond\u00fdne (v porovnan\u00ed s mestami v podobn\u00fdch zemepisn\u00fdch \u0161\u00edrkach, ako je kanadsk\u00e9 Calgary), by zastalo.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>R\u00fdchly pokles tepl\u00f4t:<\/strong> Najviac zasiahnut\u00e9 by boli severn\u00e9 \u010dasti Eur\u00f3py. Predpoklad\u00e1 sa, \u017ee vo Ve\u013ekej Brit\u00e1nii, \u00cdrsku, na Islande a v \u0160kandin\u00e1vii by teplota klesala o <strong>2 a\u017e 3 \u00b0C za desa\u0165ro\u010die<\/strong>. Ochladenie by sa n\u00e1sledne roz\u0161\u00edrilo aj do Nemecka, Franc\u00fazska, Po\u013eska a \u010dast\u00ed strednej Eur\u00f3py.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Posun zr\u00e1\u017eok:<\/strong> Spolu s ochladen\u00edm by sa v\u00fdrazne zmenili modely zr\u00e1\u017eok. B\u00farkov\u00e9 syst\u00e9my by sa presunuli viac na juh a v\u00fdchod, \u010do by sp\u00f4sobilo, \u017ee severn\u00e1 a z\u00e1padn\u00e1 Eur\u00f3pa by ostali podstatne such\u0161ie ako dnes. Tieto zmeny by mali obrovsk\u00e9 dopady na po\u013enohospod\u00e1rsku produkciu a energetick\u00e9 syst\u00e9my kontinentu.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Roz\u0161\u00edrenie \u013eadu:<\/strong> Morsk\u00fd \u013ead v Arkt\u00edde by sa roz\u0161\u00edril \u010falej na juh, \u010do by mohlo v\u00e1\u017ene naru\u0161i\u0165 prev\u00e1dzku ropn\u00fdch a plynov\u00fdch zariaden\u00ed v Severnom mori.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Otrasy na americkom pobre\u017e\u00ed: Vodn\u00e1 apokalypsa<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Na opa\u010dnej strane Atlantiku by zastavenie takzvan\u00e9ho Golfsk\u00e9ho pr\u00fadu (\u010dasti AMOC) uvo\u013enilo obrovsk\u00e9 masy vody, ktor\u00e9 inak tento r\u00fdchly pr\u00fad udr\u017eiava odklonen\u00e9 od pobre\u017eia.<\/p>\n<p>V\u00fdsledkom by bol <strong>n\u00e1hly a v\u00fdrazn\u00fd n\u00e1rast hladiny mora pozd\u013a\u017e v\u00fdchodn\u00e9ho pobre\u017eia USA o minim\u00e1lne 50 centimetrov<\/strong> nad r\u00e1mec be\u017en\u00fdch progn\u00f3z. Modelovania ukazuj\u00fa, \u017ee v hypotetickom scen\u00e1ri kolapsu v roku 2050 by toto zdvihnutie hladiny:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Viedlo k viac ako <strong>zdvojn\u00e1sobeniu celkov\u00e9ho vystavenia nehnute\u013enost\u00ed riziku storo\u010dnej vody<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<li>Prinieslo 2,8-n\u00e1sobn\u00fd n\u00e1rast rizika v porovnan\u00ed so s\u00fa\u010dasnos\u0165ou, \u010do predstavuje miliardov\u00e9 finan\u010dn\u00e9 straty na ohrozenom majetku len vo vybranom portf\u00f3liu reziden\u010dn\u00fdch a komer\u010dn\u00fdch budov.<\/li>\n<li>Ohrozilo \u00faplne nov\u00e9 komunity. Viac ako 100 r\u00f4znych oblast\u00ed (ZIP k\u00f3dov), ktor\u00e9 v s\u00fa\u010dasnosti ne\u010delia takmer \u017eiadnemu riziku z\u00e1plav, by zrazu zaznamenalo mas\u00edvne ohrozenie vodou.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Metropoly ako New York alebo Miami by museli \u010deli\u0165 katastrof\u00e1lnemu pren\u00e1sobeniu povod\u0148ov\u00fdch hrozieb, pri\u010dom v Miami by len 100-ro\u010dn\u00e1 povode\u0148 priniesla riziko v hodnote vy\u0161e 500 mili\u00f3nov dol\u00e1rov pre analyzovan\u00e9 nehnute\u013enosti.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Glob\u00e1lne klimatick\u00e9 otrasy<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Dopady by sa neobmedzili iba na oblas\u0165 severn\u00e9ho Atlantiku. Skolabovan\u00fd syst\u00e9m AMOC by sp\u00f4sobil re\u0165azov\u00fa reakciu po celej plan\u00e9te:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Boli by v\u00e1\u017ene naru\u0161en\u00e9 glob\u00e1lne zr\u00e1\u017ekov\u00e9 syst\u00e9my. Z\u00e1sadn\u00e9 zmeny v zr\u00e1\u017ekach by postihli povodie Amazonky, ako aj oblasti ovplyvnen\u00e9 africk\u00fdmi, \u00e1zijsk\u00fdmi a juhoamerick\u00fdmi monz\u00fanmi.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Ekonomick\u00e9 a finan\u010dn\u00e9 &#8222;tsunami&#8220;<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Fyzick\u00e9 zmeny by bezprostredne viedli k trhov\u00fdm otrasom. Extr\u00e9mne neline\u00e1rne straty by mohli p\u00f4sobi\u0165 ako katalyz\u00e1tor finan\u010dn\u00e9ho bodu zlomu. Tento n\u00e1hly n\u00e1rast klimatick\u00fdch hrozieb by otestoval glob\u00e1lny syst\u00e9m poistenia. U\u017e dnes vid\u00edme na Floride mas\u00edvne s\u0165ahovanie s\u00fakromn\u00fdch pois\u0165ovn\u00ed z trhu kv\u00f4li st\u00fapaj\u00facemu riziku z\u00e1plav. Kolaps AMOC by mohol vies\u0165 k mas\u00edvnej nepoistite\u013enosti regi\u00f3nov, \u010do by n\u00e1sledne podkopalo hypotek\u00e1rne trhy, zn\u00ed\u017eilo hodnotu nehnute\u013enost\u00ed a zredukovalo da\u0148ov\u00e9 pr\u00edjmy vl\u00e1d.<\/p>\n<p>Hoci neexistuje siln\u00fd vedeck\u00fd konsenzus, \u017ee AMOC ur\u010dite skolabuje u\u017e v 21. storo\u010d\u00ed, samotn\u00e9 oslabovanie tohto pr\u00fadenia je neod\u0161kriepite\u013en\u00fdm faktom. Aj ke\u010f je scen\u00e1r zr\u00fatenia pravdepodobnostn\u00fd a vysoko neist\u00fd, jeho katastrof\u00e1lny dopad vo forme &#8222;eur\u00f3pskej mrazni\u010dky&#8220;, ni\u010div\u00fdch americk\u00fdch z\u00e1plav a glob\u00e1lnych zr\u00e1\u017ekov\u00fdch otrasov je tak obrovsk\u00fd, \u017ee svetov\u00ed ekon\u00f3movia a in\u0161tit\u00facie ho u\u017e teraz musia bra\u0165 do \u00favahy pri budovan\u00ed odolnosti vo\u010di dlhodob\u00fdm rizik\u00e1m. <em><strong>JRi&amp;CO2AI\u00a0<\/strong><\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0628\u064a\u0646\u0645\u0627 \u062a\u0631\u0643\u0632 \u0645\u0639\u0638\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u0627\u0634\u0627\u062a \u062d\u0648\u0644 \u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0627\u062e \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0631\u060c \u0641\u0625\u0646 \u0623\u062d\u062f \u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0647\u062f\u064a\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0627\u062e\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0634\u0631\u064a\u0646 \u0642\u062f \u064a\u0624\u062f\u064a\u060c \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0645\u062a\u0646\u0627\u0642\u0636\u060c \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0628\u0631\u064a\u062f \u062d\u0627\u062f \u0641\u064a \u0628\u0639\u0636 \u0645\u0646\u0627\u0637\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645 \u0648\u0641\u064a\u0636\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0643\u0627\u0631\u062b\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0645\u0646\u0627\u0637\u0642 \u0623\u062e\u0631\u0649. \u0648\u064a\u0631\u0643\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0621 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0648\u0646 \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0645\u062a\u0632\u0627\u064a\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649<\/p>","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[40,4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-39185","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-adaptacia-na-zmenu-klimy","category-klimaticka-zmena"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39185","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39185"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39185\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":39188,"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39185\/revisions\/39188"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39185"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39185"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39185"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}