{"id":38202,"date":"2025-11-13T06:02:53","date_gmt":"2025-11-13T05:02:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/?p=38202"},"modified":"2025-11-13T06:04:44","modified_gmt":"2025-11-13T05:04:44","slug":"svet-sa-topi-v-klimatickych-sluboch-sokujuce-zistenia-z-najnovsej-spravy-o-stave-planety","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/ar\/2025\/11\/13\/svet-sa-topi-v-klimatickych-sluboch-sokujuce-zistenia-z-najnovsej-spravy-o-stave-planety\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645 \u064a\u063a\u0631\u0642 \u0641\u064a \u0648\u0639\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0627\u062e: \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0635\u0627\u062f\u0645\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u062d\u062f\u062b \u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0639\u0646 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0648\u0643\u0628"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u0646\u0633\u0645\u0639 \u064a\u0648\u0645\u064a\u064b\u0627 \u0639\u0646 \u062d\u0644\u0648\u0644 \u062c\u062f\u064a\u062f\u0629 \u0644\u0645\u0634\u0643\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0627\u062e. \u0646\u0631\u0649 \u0635\u0648\u0631\u064b\u0627 \u0644\u0645\u0632\u0627\u0631\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0645\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0628\u0627\u0631\u060c \u0648\u0646\u0642\u0631\u0623 \u0639\u0646 \u0637\u0641\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0647\u0631\u0628\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0646\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f \u0642\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645 \u064a\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639\u0648\u0646 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0645\u0645. \u0648\u0645\u0639 \u0630\u0644\u0643\u060c \u064a\u0634\u0639\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0646\u0627 \u0623\u0646 \u0623\u0632\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0627\u062e \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639<!--more--> nezlep\u0161uje. Tento pocit frustr\u00e1cie nie je len dojem \u2013 je to realita, ktor\u00fa n\u00e1dej z Par\u00ed\u017eskej dohody v posledn\u00fdch rokoch zatienili glob\u00e1lne udalosti ako pand\u00e9mia COVID-19, vojny a politick\u00e1 regresia.<\/p>\n<p>Najnov\u0161ia <a href=\"https:\/\/climateactiontracker.org\/documents\/1348\/CAT_2025-11-13_GlobalUpdate_COP30.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631<\/span><\/a> \u201eClimate Action Tracker\u201c (CAT) z novembra 2025 prin\u00e1\u0161a ne\u00faprosn\u00fd verdikt o tom, kde sa svet v boji proti klimatickej zmene skuto\u010dne nach\u00e1dza. Analytici zozbierali d\u00e1ta o politik\u00e1ch, z\u00e1v\u00e4zkoch a re\u00e1lnych krokoch desiatok kraj\u00edn a ich z\u00e1very odha\u013euj\u00fa, pre\u010do n\u00e1\u0161 spolo\u010dn\u00fd pokrok stagnuje, aj ke\u010f sa zd\u00e1, \u017ee sme akt\u00edvnej\u0161\u00ed ako kedyko\u013evek predt\u00fdm.<\/p>\n<p>Tento \u010dl\u00e1nok zhrnie p\u00e4\u0165 najprekvapivej\u0161\u00edch a najd\u00f4le\u017eitej\u0161\u00edch zisten\u00ed z tejto k\u013e\u00fa\u010dovej spr\u00e1vy. Tieto fakty menia poh\u013ead na s\u00fa\u010dasn\u00fd stav boja proti klimatickej zmene a odha\u013euj\u00fa nepr\u00edjemn\u00fa pravdu, ktor\u00fa potrebujeme po\u010du\u0165, aby sme mohli kone\u010dne kona\u0165.<\/p>\n<h3>1. Il\u00fazia pokroku: U\u017e \u0161tyri roky stoj\u00edme na mieste<\/h3>\n<p>Naj\u0161okuj\u00facej\u0161\u00edm z\u00e1verom spr\u00e1vy je, \u017ee napriek v\u0161etk\u00e9mu \u00fasiliu sa n\u00e1\u0161 kone\u010dn\u00fd cie\u013e za posledn\u00e9 \u0161tyri roky nepribl\u00ed\u017eil. Anal\u00fdza CAT ukazuje, \u017ee progn\u00f3za otep\u013eovania na z\u00e1klade predlo\u017een\u00fdch klimatick\u00fdch cie\u013eov (tzv. NDC) sa za toto obdobie prakticky nezmenila a zost\u00e1va zaseknut\u00e1 na katastrof\u00e1lnych <b>2,6 \u00b0C<\/b> do konca storo\u010dia \u2013 rovnako ako minul\u00fd rok.<\/p>\n<p>Zar\u00e1\u017eaj\u00faci je fakt, \u017ee ani nov\u00e1 vlna klimatick\u00fdch cie\u013eov na rok 2035 s touto progn\u00f3zou nijako nepohla. Spr\u00e1va dokonca odha\u013euje, \u017ee zdanliv\u00e9 zlep\u0161enie v inej kateg\u00f3rii \u2013 pri re\u00e1lnych politik\u00e1ch a opatreniach, kde progn\u00f3za klesla z 2,7 \u00b0C na 2,6 \u00b0C \u2013 je len il\u00faziou. Tento posun je sp\u00f4soben\u00fd najm\u00e4 metodologickou zmenou v modelovan\u00ed emisi\u00ed \u010c\u00edny, nie re\u00e1lnym pokrokom vo svetovej klimatickej politike. Sme svedkami bezprecedentnej aktivity, no kone\u010dn\u00fd v\u00fdsledok sa nemen\u00ed.<\/p>\n<h3>2. Par\u00ed\u017eska dohoda nebola zlyhan\u00edm \u2013 len sa zasekla<\/h3>\n<p>Uprostred zlej spr\u00e1vy o stagn\u00e1cii pon\u00faka anal\u00fdza jedno prekvapivo pozit\u00edvne zistenie, ktor\u00e9 rob\u00ed s\u00fa\u010dasn\u00fa situ\u00e1ciu e\u0161te frustruj\u00facej\u0161ou: Par\u00ed\u017eska dohoda spo\u010diatku fungovala. Koordinovan\u00e1 glob\u00e1lna akcia mala re\u00e1lny a merate\u013en\u00fd dopad.<\/p>\n<p>Spr\u00e1va prin\u00e1\u0161a k\u013e\u00fa\u010dov\u00fd \u00fadaj, ktor\u00fd to dokazuje. V roku 2015, predt\u00fdm ako dohoda vst\u00fapila do platnosti, smeroval svet <i>pod\u013ea vtedy platn\u00fdch polit\u00edk<\/i> k otepleniu a\u017e o <b>3,6 \u00b0C<\/b>. V\u010faka z\u00e1v\u00e4zkom a politik\u00e1m, ktor\u00e9 krajiny prijali v nasleduj\u00facich rokoch, sa t\u00e1to hroziv\u00e1 progn\u00f3za zn\u00ed\u017eila o cel\u00fd jeden stupe\u0148 Celzia na s\u00fa\u010dasn\u00fdch <b>2,6 \u00b0C<\/b>.<\/p>\n<p>Tento v\u00fdrazn\u00fd pokrok sa v\u0161ak odohral najm\u00e4 v prv\u00fdch piatich rokoch po dohode, pribli\u017ene do roku 2020. Odvtedy sa hybn\u00e1 sila takmer \u00faplne vytratila. Je to d\u00f4kaz, \u017ee medzin\u00e1rodn\u00e1 spolupr\u00e1ca m\u00f4\u017ee prinies\u0165 v\u00fdsledky, no z\u00e1rove\u0148 je to mraziv\u00e9 pripomenutie, \u017ee sme tento impulz stratili. Ako je teda mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee sme tento po\u010diato\u010dn\u00fd \u00faspech premrhali? Odpove\u010f le\u017e\u00ed v mas\u00edvnom pre\u0165ahovan\u00ed lanom, ktor\u00e9 dnes definuje glob\u00e1lnu klimatick\u00fa politiku.<\/p>\n<h3>3. Ve\u013ek\u00e9 klimatick\u00e9 pre\u0165ahovanie lanom: Sily pokroku a de\u0161trukcie sa navz\u00e1jom ru\u0161ia<\/h3>\n<p>Anal\u00fdza CAT interpretuje s\u00fa\u010dasn\u00fa stagn\u00e1ciu nie ako d\u00f4sledok ne\u010dinnosti, ale ako v\u00fdsledok z\u00farivej bitky medzi dvoma extr\u00e9mne siln\u00fdmi, protichodn\u00fdmi trendmi, ktor\u00e9 sa navz\u00e1jom ru\u0161ia a dr\u017eia svet v patovej situ\u00e1cii.<\/p>\n<p>Na jednej strane lana je \u201erevol\u00facia \u010dist\u00fdch technol\u00f3gi\u00ed\u201c. T\u00e1to sila je re\u00e1lna a akceleruje r\u00fdchlej\u0161ie, ne\u017e ktoko\u013evek predpovedal:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Obnovite\u013en\u00e9 zdroje, najm\u00e4 sol\u00e1rna a vetern\u00e1 energia, za\u017e\u00edvaj\u00fa boom. V roku 2025 po prv\u00fdkr\u00e1t v hist\u00f3rii glob\u00e1lne vyrobili viac elektriny ako uhlie.<\/li>\n<li>Krajiny ako \u010cile ukazuj\u00fa svetu, ako r\u00fdchlo m\u00f4\u017ee r\u00e1s\u0165 sol\u00e1rna energia, India prekonala svoje ciele pre nefos\u00edlne zdroje s predstihom a Eti\u00f3pia zak\u00e1zala dovoz \u00e1ut so spa\u013eovac\u00edmi motormi.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Na druhej, de\u0161trukt\u00edvnej strane lana, v\u0161ak rovnako silno \u0165ah\u00e1 pretrv\u00e1vaj\u00faca expanzia fos\u00edlnych pal\u00edv:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Mnoh\u00e9 krajiny ako Austr\u00e1lia, \u010c\u00edna, India \u010di Saudsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bia na\u010falej mas\u00edvne investuj\u00fa do uhlia, ropy a zemn\u00e9ho plynu.<\/li>\n<li>Spojen\u00e9 \u0161t\u00e1ty pod novou administrat\u00edvou, ako uv\u00e1dza spr\u00e1va, \u201eakt\u00edvne ru\u0161ia projekty pobre\u017en\u00fdch vetern\u00fdch elektr\u00e1rn\u00ed, obmedzuj\u00fa stimuly pre obnovite\u013en\u00e9 zdroje, zni\u017euj\u00fa limity na zne\u010distenie uhl\u00edkom a akt\u00edvne roz\u0161iruj\u00fa produkciu ropy a plynu\u201c.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3>4. Cie\u013e 1,5 \u00b0C minieme. Ot\u00e1zkou je, o ko\u013eko a \u010di sa dok\u00e1\u017eeme vr\u00e1ti\u0165.<\/h3>\n<p>V d\u00f4sledku stagn\u00e1cie po roku 2020, ke\u010f glob\u00e1lne emisie sklen\u00edkov\u00fdch plynov neklesali, ale zostali na rovnakej \u00farovni alebo dokonca st\u00fapli, prin\u00e1\u0161a spr\u00e1va triezvy verdikt. Pod\u013ea najnov\u0161\u00edch d\u00e1t je teraz \u201eve\u013emi pravdepodobn\u00e9\u201c, \u017ee svet v najbli\u017e\u0161om desa\u0165ro\u010d\u00ed, niekedy za\u010diatkom 30. rokov, prekro\u010d\u00ed hranicu oteplenia o 1,5 \u00b0C v dlhodobom priemere. Tento jav, zn\u00e1my ako \u201eovershoot\u201c (prestrelenie), je u\u017e takmer neodvratn\u00fd.<\/p>\n<p>Boj sa t\u00fdm v\u0161ak nekon\u010d\u00ed. Cie\u013eom sa teraz st\u00e1va minimalizova\u0165, <i>ako ve\u013emi<\/i> t\u00fato kritick\u00fa hranicu prestrel\u00edme a ako r\u00fdchlo sa dok\u00e1\u017eeme vr\u00e1ti\u0165 pod \u0148u. Spr\u00e1va v\u0161ak pon\u00faka aj l\u00fa\u010d n\u00e1deje. Cesta \u201enajvy\u0161\u0161ej mo\u017enej amb\u00edcie\u201c by mohla obmedzi\u0165 maxim\u00e1lne oteplenie na <b>1,7 \u00b0C<\/b>. V\u010faka radik\u00e1lnemu zni\u017eovaniu emisi\u00ed a technol\u00f3gi\u00e1m na odstra\u0148ovanie CO2 z atmosf\u00e9ry by sa teplota mohla vr\u00e1ti\u0165 pod 1,5 \u00b0C do konca storo\u010dia. \u010cas na zabr\u00e1nenie prestreleniu sa minul; teraz bojujeme o minimaliz\u00e1ciu \u0161k\u00f4d. Ako pripom\u00edna spr\u00e1va:<\/p>\n<p>\u201eAtmosf\u00e9ra nevyjedn\u00e1va a ne\u010dak\u00e1.\u201c<\/p>\n<h3>5. Nov\u00e1 vlna s\u013eubov na rok 2035 je sklaman\u00edm<\/h3>\n<p>Anal\u00fdza najnov\u0161\u00edch klimatick\u00fdch z\u00e1v\u00e4zkov (NDC) na rok 2035 odha\u013euje jadro probl\u00e9mu: najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161\u00ed svetov\u00ed zne\u010dis\u0165ovatelia zlyh\u00e1vaj\u00fa. \u010c\u00edna a E\u00da nepredlo\u017eili ciele, ktor\u00e9 by v\u00fdrazne zmenili kurz, a USA dokonca akt\u00edvne ru\u0161ia klimatick\u00e9 politiky a s\u0165ahuj\u00fa sa z Par\u00ed\u017eskej dohody. V\u00fdsledkom je, \u017ee nov\u00e9 s\u013euby nedok\u00e1zali \u201epohn\u00fa\u0165 s cifern\u00edkom\u201c glob\u00e1lneho otep\u013eovania.<\/p>\n<p>Tzv. \u201eemisn\u00e1 medzera\u201c, teda rozdiel medzi t\u00fdm, \u010do krajiny s\u013eubuj\u00fa, a t\u00fdm, \u010do je potrebn\u00e9 pre 1,5 \u00b0C, sa v skuto\u010dnosti zv\u00e4\u010d\u0161uje. K\u00fdm v roku 2030 bude t\u00e1to medzera predstavova\u0165 29 gigaton CO2e (GtCO2e), do roku 2035 narastie a\u017e na <b>31 GtCO2e<\/b>.<\/p>\n<p>Mnoh\u00e9 z nov\u00fdch cie\u013eov s\u00fa problematick\u00e9. Niektor\u00e9, ako ten \u010d\u00ednsky, s\u00fa dosiahnute\u013en\u00e9 u\u017e so s\u00fa\u010dasn\u00fdmi politikami. In\u00e9, ako v pr\u00edpade Austr\u00e1lie a Braz\u00edlie, sa spoliehaj\u00fa na kreat\u00edvne \u00fa\u010dtovn\u00edctvo s lesmi (v odbornej terminol\u00f3gii LULUCF \u2013 vyu\u017e\u00edvanie p\u00f4dy, zmeny vo vyu\u017e\u00edvan\u00ed p\u00f4dy a lesn\u00edctvo), aby zakryli nedostato\u010dn\u00e9 zni\u017eovanie emisi\u00ed. A \u010fal\u0161\u00edm, ako v pr\u00edpade Spojen\u00fdch arabsk\u00fdch emir\u00e1tov, ch\u00fdbaj\u00fa ak\u00e9ko\u013evek konkr\u00e9tne pl\u00e1ny na implement\u00e1ciu.<\/p>\n<h3>Technol\u00f3gia je pripraven\u00e1. A \u010do politick\u00e1 v\u00f4\u013ea?<\/h3>\n<p>Spr\u00e1va Climate Action Tracker ukazuje, \u017ee svet sa nach\u00e1dza na kritickej kri\u017eovatke. Technologick\u00fd pokrok v oblasti \u010dist\u00fdch energi\u00ed je re\u00e1lny, hmatate\u013en\u00fd a r\u00fdchlej\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e sa o\u010dak\u00e1valo. Tento pozit\u00edvny trend je v\u0161ak systematicky brzden\u00fd nedostatkom politickej odvahy a pretrv\u00e1vaj\u00facim vplyvom fos\u00edlneho priemyslu.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/climateactiontracker.org\/documents\/1348\/CAT_2025-11-13_GlobalUpdate_COP30.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631<\/span><\/a> ukazuje, \u017ee technol\u00f3gie na z\u00e1chranu kl\u00edmy u\u017e m\u00e1me. Ot\u00e1zkou teda nie je, \u010di je bud\u00facnos\u0165 v s\u00falade s 1,5 \u00b0C mo\u017en\u00e1, ale \u010di si ju ako spolo\u010dnos\u0165 zvol\u00edme. Sme na to pripraven\u00ed? <em><strong>\u062c\u064a\u0647 \u0622\u0631 \u0622\u064a<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0646\u0633\u0645\u0639 \u064a\u0648\u0645\u064a\u064b\u0627 \u0639\u0646 \u062d\u0644\u0648\u0644 \u062c\u062f\u064a\u062f\u0629 \u0644\u0645\u0634\u0643\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0627\u062e. \u0646\u0631\u0649 \u0635\u0648\u0631\u064b\u0627 \u0644\u0645\u0632\u0627\u0631\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0645\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0628\u0627\u0631\u060c \u0648\u0646\u0642\u0631\u0623 \u0639\u0646 \u0637\u0641\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0647\u0631\u0628\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0646\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f \u0642\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645 \u064a\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639\u0648\u0646 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0645\u0645. \u0648\u0645\u0639 \u0630\u0644\u0643\u060c \u064a\u0634\u0639\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0646\u0627 \u0623\u0646 \u0623\u0632\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0627\u062e \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639<\/p>","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38202","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-znizovanie_co2_cdr_ccs_ccu_dac"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38202","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38202"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38202\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38202"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38202"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.co2news.sk\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38202"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}